Estimated probabilities of success:

• New technologies - high risk.
  • Technical success 1 in 4
  • Commercial success 1 in 4
  • Overall 1 in 16
• Technology spin-offs - medium risk
  • Technical success 1 in 2
  • Commercial success 1 in 2
  • Overall 1 in 4
• Product enhancements
  • Technical success 9 in 10, (0.9)
  • Commercial success 9 in 10, (0.9)
  • Overall 81 in 100, (0.81)